H2H, prediction of Novak Djokovic vs Rafael Nadal in Paris with odds, preview, pick | 29th July 2024
PREVIEW. Paris. Djokovic and Nadal will square off in the 2nd round of the Olympics. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their next match on Monday the 29th of July
Novak Djokovic and Rafael Nadal will play each other in the 2nd round of the Olympics for the 60th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 2:00 pm on Court Philippe Chatrier. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Novak Djokovic who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Novak Djokovic is the pick to win this match.
Novak Djokovic -> 1.21
Rafael Nadal -> 4.45
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Prediction and head to head Novak Djokovic vs. Rafael Nadal
This will be the 60th time that Novak Djokovic and Rafael Nadal square off. The head to head is 30-29 for Djokovic (see full H2H stats), but Nadal has a winning record of 20-8 on clay.
The last time that they squared off, Nadal won 6-2 4-6 6-2 7-6(4) in the quarter in at the French Open back in 2022.
Ranked no. 2, Djokovic got to the 2nd round after defeating Matthew Ebden 6-0 6-1.
In the 1st round, Djokovic had a good straight sets win against Ebden (6-0 6-1). During the match, Djokovic scored 52 points vs Ebden’s 21. The Serbian was extremely aggressive to blast 15 winners.
Regarding the service games, Djokovic bagged 4 aces and he was exceptionally solid in conceding no double faults. Novak Djokovic was pretty effective on serve to win 83% (15/18) of his 1st serve and 83% (10/12) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Djokovic broke Ebden 6 times after converting 67% of his break points (6/9).
Djokovic has a remarkable record in the last 10 years having won 86% of his matches (507-80). 11-3 on clay in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Djokovic has an overall 136-29 match record in the last years on clay.
Novak’s best result of the season was getting to the final in Wimbledon .
Novak has an overall 24-7 win-loss record in 2024, 11-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Ranked no. 161, Nadal got to the 2nd round after beating Marton Fucsovics 6-1 4-6 6-4.
In the 1st round, Rafael defeated Fucsovics (6-1 4-6 6-4). During the match Nadal scored 97 points vs Fucsovics’s 78. Rafael was pretty aggressive to blast 47 winners.
About the serving games, Nadal scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 3 double faults. Rafael Nadal lost the serve twice and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Nadal put 73% of his first serves in, winning 70% (47/67) of the points behind his 1st serve and 58% (15/26) on the 2nd serve. The Spaniard broke Fucsovics 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).
The Spaniard’s best result of the current season was reaching the final Bastad.
Nadal has a composed 12-6 win-loss record in 2024, 10-5 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Djokovic struck 4 aces . Nadal bagged 1 ace . Djokovic won 83% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 83% of the points. On the other side, Nadal won 70% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.
How they played the important points
Breaks Djokovic Nadal
Won 6 4
Converted 6/9 4/8
% Converted 67% 50%
Conceded 0 10
Saved 0 8
% Saved 0% 80%
Times Broken 0 2
The Serbian broke his opponent 6
The Serbian broke his opponent 6 times with a 67% conversion rate. The Serbian was rock solid on his serve as he has never dropped a single service game after saving 0 break points. Nadal broke his opponent 4 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Spaniard conceded his serve twice and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded.
