Aryna Sabalenka
The Belarusian player will end the season as the World No. 1, regardless of the tournament’s outcome. This year, Sabalenka has won two Grand Slams, along with titles in Cincinnati and Wuhan.
Sabalenka started the Finals with wins over strong opponents, defeating Zheng 6-3, 6-4, and then Paolini 6-3, 7-5. These victories secured her top spot in the group and a semifinal berth, leading to a low-stakes loss in her last group match against Rybakina, 4-6, 6-3, 1-6. Sabalenka will be highly motivated for this match, eager to cap off an impressive season with another victory.
Coco Gauff
The American had a modest season in terms of titles, claiming wins in Auckland and Beijing but missing out on a Grand Slam. At 20 years old, Gauff currently ranks third in the world.
Gauff began the Finals with a confident win over Jessica Pegula, 6-3, 6-2, followed by a victory over Iga Swiatek, 6-3, 6-4. These two wins ensured her spot in the semifinals, but a 5-7, 4-6 loss in the final group match pushed her to the second position in the group.
Match Facts
- Sabalenka has won 40 of her 48 hard-court matches this year.
- Gauff has secured 33 wins in 43 hard-court games.
- Odds for this match: Sabalenka 1.5, Gauff 2.73.
Head-to-Head
The head-to-head record between them is even at 4-4. They’ve met twice this season, with Sabalenka winning both encounters.
Prediction
Sabalenka is the favorite in this matchup, as she has had a stronger season and is inspired by her World No. 1 status. Gauff won’t go down without a fight, but I’ll back a straightforward win for Sabalenka.