No. 2-ranked Aryna Sabalenka will face No. 24 Madison Keys in the China Open Round of 16 on Tuesday, October 1. In this matchup, Sabalenka is favored (-500) versus Keys (+340) .
Sabalenka beat Ashlyn Krueger 6-2, 6-2 on Monday in the Round of 32 in her last match.
Keys won her most recent match on Sunday in the Round of 32 over Beatriz Haddad Maia 6-3, 6-3.
Tennis odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Monday at 11:45 PM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.
Sabalenka vs. Keys match information
- Tournament: The China Open
- Round: Round of 16
- Date: Tuesday, October 1
- Venue: National Tennis Center
- Location: Beijing, China
- Court Surface: Hard
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Match odds
| Aryna Sabalenka | Madison Keys | |
|---|---|---|
| -500 | Odds to Win Match | +340 |
| +160 | Odds to Win Tournament | +2800 |
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Sabalenka stats
- Sabalenka has played 67 matches over the past 12 months (across all court surfaces), and 20.6 games per match.
- On hard courts, Sabalenka has played 46 matches over the past year, totaling 19.6 games per match while winning 60.4% of games.
- Over the past 12 months, Sabalenka has won 38.7% of her return games and 79.2% of her service games.
- Sabalenka has won 80.8% of her service games on hard courts and 39.7% of her return games over the past 12 months.
- In terms of serve/return winning percentages over her last 10 tournaments, Sabalenka has won 79.9% of her games on serve, and 38.1% on return.
- Sabalenka is 34th in break points won on all surfaces over the past 12 months, converting 256 of 561 (45.6%).
- Sabalenka has converted 45.1% of her break-point opportunities (161 of 357) over her last 10 tournaments.
Keys stats
- Keys has played 35 matches in the past 12 months across all court surfaces, averaging 21.1 games per match and winning 54.9% of those games.
- Keys is averaging 22.4 games per match and 11.2 games per set through 11 matches on hard courts in the past year.
- Keys has a 74% service game winning percentage and a 36.6% return game winning percentage on all surfaces in the past year.
- Keys has a 75.2% winning percentage in service games when playing on hard courts, and a 25.6% winning percentage in return games.
- In terms of serve/return winning percentages over her last 10 tournaments, Keys has won 75% of her games on serve, and 39.3% on return.
- Keys ranks 115th in break point win percentage in the past year, at 42.7% after going 128-for-300.
- Including all surfaces, Keys has converted 44.8% of her break-point opportunities (121 of 270) over her last 10 tournaments.
Aryna Sabalenka vs. Madison Keys head-to-head
- Against each other, Sabalenka has two wins and Keys has zero. In their last meeting on September 7, 2023, Sabalenka came out on top 0-6, 7-6, 7-6.
- Sabalenka and Keys have played five sets in total, with Sabalenka winning four of them and Keys one.
- Sabalenka has bettered Keys in 26 of 50 total games between them (52.0%).
- Sabalenka and Keys are averaging 25 games and 2.5 sets in their two matches against each other.
