Halle 2025: Alexander Zverev vs Daniil Medvedev preview, head-to-head, prediction, odds, and pick | Terra Wortmann Open
Fixture: (2) Alexander Zverev vs (3) Daniil Medvedev
Tournament: Terra Wortmann Open 2025, Semifinals
Date and Time: Saturday, June 21, 2025, 3:00 PM local time (OWL Arena, Halle)
Surface: Grass
Preview:
World No. 3 Alexander Zverev faces world No. 11 Daniil Medvedev in a highly anticipated semifinal at the Terra Wortmann Open, marking their first grass-court clash. Zverev, the home favorite, has been in strong form, reaching the Stuttgart final last week and powering through Halle with wins over Marcos Giron (6-2, 6-1), Lorenzo Sonego (3-6, 6-4, 7-6(2)), and Flavio Cobolli (6-4, 7-6(6)), despite a stomach issue in the latter, per Sportskeeda. His 35-12 record in 2025 includes a Munich title and a 6-1 grass mark. Medvedev, seeking his first 2025 title, has been clinical in Halle, dropping no sets in victories over Daniel Altmaier (6-3, 6-3), Quentin Halys (6-2, 7-5), and Alex Michelsen (6-4, 6-3). His 22-12 record includes a 4-1 grass tally, bolstered by his flat groundstrokes and 400th career win, per Tennis Tonic.
Head-to-Head:
Medvedev leads 12-7, winning six of their last seven encounters, including a five-set thriller at the 2024 Australian Open (5-7, 3-6, 7-6(4), 7-6(5), 6-3). However, they’ve never met on grass, making this a fresh challenge. Zverev’s early dominance (winning the first four) has faded, with Medvedev’s counterpunching and mental edge prevailing recently, per Sportskeeda.
Prediction:
Zverev’s powerful serve (24 aces in Halle) and grass-court comfort give him an edge, especially with home support. Medvedev’s baseline control and 78% first-serve points won make him dangerous, but his 52% win probability (per Dimers) may falter against Zverev’s aggressive play. The German’s 82% first-serve points and 38% break-point conversion rate suggest he can dictate terms. Expect a tight match, with Zverev capitalizing on shorter rallies. Pick: Zverev in three sets.
Odds (per BetMGM, via Tennis Tonic):
- Zverev: 1.65
- Medvedev: 2.24
- Over 24.5 games: 1.85 (recommended bet, per Tennisnerd)
Sentiment: X posts reflect split opinions, with some favoring Medvedev’s head-to-head dominance and grass suitability (@bets_express), while others back Zverev’s form and home advantage (@TennisUpdates25), per.
